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Objective:To explore the independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality of patients with multiple trauma, and to construct a prediction model of risk of death and validate its efficacy.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was performed to analyze the clinical data of 1 028 patients with multiple trauma admitted to Affiliated Hospital of Jiangsu University from January 2011 to December 2021. There were 765 males and 263 females, aged 18-91 years[(53.8±12.4)years]. The injury severity score (ISS) was 16-57 points [(26.3±7.6)points]. There were 153 deaths and 875 survivals. A total of 777 patients were enrolled as the training set from January 2011 to December 2018 for building the prediction model, while another 251 patients were enrolled as validation set from January 2019 to December 2021. According to the outcomes, the training set was divided into the non-survival group (115 patients) and survival group (662 patients). The two groups were compared in terms of the gender, age, underlying disease, injury mechanism, head and neck injury, maxillofacial injury, chest injury, abdominal injury, extremity and pelvis injury, body surface injury, damage control surgery, pre-hospital time, number of injury sites, Glasgow coma score (GCS), ISS, shock index, and laboratory test results within 6 hours on admission, including blood lactate acid, white blood cell counts, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet counts, hemoglobin, activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), fibrinogen, D-dimer and blood glucose. Univariate analysis and multivariate Logistic regression analysis were performed to determine the independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with multiple trauma. The R software was used to establish a nomogram prediction model based on the above risk factors. Area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), calibration curve and clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) were plotted in the training set and the validation set, and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test was performed.Results:Univariate analysis showed that abdominal injury, extremity and pelvis injury, damage control surgery, GCS, ISS, shock index, blood lactic acid, white blood cell counts, NLR, platelet counts, hemoglobin, APTT, fibrinogen, D-dimer and blood glucose were correlated with in-hospital mortality in patients with multiple trauma ( P<0.05 or 0.01). Logistic regression analysis showed that GCS≤8 points ( OR=1.99, 95% CI 1.12,3.53), ISS>25 points ( OR=7.39, 95% CI 3.50, 15.61), shock index>1.0 ( OR=3.43, 95% CI 1.94,6.08), blood lactic acid>2 mmol/L ( OR=9.84, 95% CI 4.97, 19.51), fibrinogen≤1.5 g/L ( OR=2.57, 95% CI 1.39,4.74) and blood glucose>10 mmol/L ( OR=3.49, 95% CI 2.03, 5.99) were significantly correlated with their in-hospital mortality ( P<0.05 or 0.01). The ROC of the nomogram prediction model indicated that AUC of the training set was 0.91 (95% CI 0.87, 0.93) and AUC of the validation set was 0.90 (95% CI 0.84, 0.95). The calibration curve showed that the predicted probability was consistent with the actual situation in both the training set and validation set. DCA showed that the nomogram prediction model presented excellent performance in predicting in-hospital mortality. In Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, χ2 value of the training set was 9.69 ( P>0.05), with validation set of 9.16 ( P>0.05). Conclusions:GCS≤8 points, ISS>25 points, shock index>1.0, blood lactic acid>2 mmol/L, fibrinogen≤1.5 g/L and blood glucose>10 mmol/L are independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with multiple trauma. The nomogram prediction model based on these 6 predictive variables shows a good predictive performance, which can help clinicians comprehensively assess the patient′s condition and identify the high-risk population.
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Objective:To analyze the effects of DHT on the proliferation and migration of endothelial progenitor cells (EPCs) and the role of RhoA/ROCK pathway in this process.Methods:Early EPCs were isolated from peripheral blood of healthy adults, and cultured in serum-free EBM-2 medium for 24 h before incubation with various concentrations of DHT (1, 10, and 100 nmol/L). EPCs proliferative and migrative capacities were measured. The adherent cells were collected and randomLy divided into: control group, DHT group, C3 exoenzyme+DHT, Y-27632+DHT group. EPCs proliferation and migration were assayed by MTT assay and modified Boyden chamber assay respectively.Results:DHT significantly increased the proliferation and migration ability of EPCs in a dose- and time-dependent manner, maximum at 10 nmol/L, 24 h ( P<0.05). C3 exoenzyme [(0.22±0.02) vs (0.26±0.05), P>0.05] and Y-27632 [(0.21±0.04) vs (0.26±0.05), P>0.05] can attenuate the proliferative capacities of EPCs induced by DHT compared with the DHT group, but there was no statistical significance. The influence of DHT on EPCs migrative capacities can be abolished by C3 exoenzyme [(35.26±4.27) vs (46.92±5.46), P<0.05] and Y-27632 [(33.61±5.33) vs (46.92±5.46), P<0.01]. C3 exoenzyme [(116.75±7.42) vs (156.80± 21.74), P<0.05] and Y-27632 [(121.73±5.33) vs (156.80 ±21.74), P<0.01] could noticeably attenuate DHT-induced EPCs secretion of VEGF respectively. Conclusions:DHT can modulate EPCs proliferation, migration and the RhoA/ROCK pathway plays an important role in this process.
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Objective To investigate the risk factors of polytrauma combined with multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS).Methods A retrospective case control study was performed on the clinical data of 299 polytrauma patients admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Jiangsu University from December 2011 to June 2017.The collected information included gender,age,length of hospital stay,number of injured parts,injury severity scores (ISS),neutrophil count,leukocyte level,hemoglobin level,platelet count,activated partial thromboplastin time (APTI),and D-dimer level within 24 hours since admission.In addition,shock within 24 hours since admission,infection after 3 days since admission,damage control surgery,underlying diseases and prognostic outcomes were also recorded.All the patients were divided into MODS group (94 patients) and non-MODS group (205 patients).Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to determine the risk factors of polytrauma combined with MODS.Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was applied to further analyze those risk factors identified by the former analyses.Results In the univariate analysis,there were statistically significant differences between the two groups in the number of injured parts,ISS,hemoglobin level,platelet count,APTT,D-dimer level within 24 hours since admission,shock within 24 hours since admission,infection after 3 days since admission,damage control surgery and prognostic outcomes (P ＜ 0.05).No significant differences were found in gender,age,underlying disease,length of hospital stay,neutrophil level,the leukocyte level within 24 hours since admission between the two groups (P ＞ 0.05).The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that ISS (OR =1.048),shock within 24 hours since admission (OR =3.913),infection after 3 days since admission (OR =27.715),and D-dimer level within 24 hours since admission (OR =1.015) were significantly associated with polytrauma combined with MODS (P ＜ 0.05).In addition,the area under ROC curve of ISS was 0.726 (95 ％ CI 0.667-0.784),and the area under ROC curve of D-dimer was 0.638 (95％ CI 0.571-0.706).Conclusions The risk factors of polytrauma patients combined with MODS include ISS,infection after 3 days since admission,D-dimer level and shock within 24 hours since admission.In the treatment of polytrauma patients,attention should be paid to assessment of injury severity and coagulation function,active resuscitation to correct shock,prevent and control infection,which can reduce and prevent the risks for polytrauma patients combined with MODS.